Can We Let the Sober Middle Drive the Car for a Change?

Historically, the sitting president’s political party loses congressional seats in a midterm election. That trend has held in 17 of 19 midterm elections since World War II. On average, the president’s party has lost 25-30 seats. The worst loss was in 2010 when the Democrats lost 63 seats. In Donald Trump’s first term, the Republicans lost 40 seats.
The current polling strongly indicates that pattern will likely repeat itself in 2026. Trump’s approval rating has been steadily trending down since his reelection and turned sharply lower during the government shutdown. Still, he is about 5 points…
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