Jonathan Draeger, reporter for RealClearPolitics, wrote Tuesday that “the 2024 presidential contest couldn’t be tighter.” Unless, of course, it turns out not to be nearly as close as this season’s run of polls suggests it is.
One indication that it might not be was a New York Times-Siena poll released this week showing Donald Trump leading Kamala Harris in Florida 55% to 41%. That’s quite a switch from the 48.85% to 48.84% by which George W. Bush carried the state in 2000, or the 48.6% to 47.4% there for Trump over Hillary Clinton in 2016.
As the Times’ brilliant and painstaking poll analyst…
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