Good morning, it’s Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2024. I try to avoid hyperbole in this newsletter, but tonight is shaping up as a momentous encounter in the history of American campaigns and elections. It also settles the equivalent of a long-running old bar bet.
For years, there has been a friendly disagreement between political practitioners and political scientists over the significance of presidential debates.
Generally, academics doubt that they matter all that much. Most scholars believe that underlying “fundamentals” – the state of the economy, voters’ attitudes about the nation’s direction, how…
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